John L. Petersen
John L.
Petersen, FWAAS is considered by many to be one of the most informed
futurists in the world. He is best-known for writing and thinking about
high impact surprises — wild cards — and the process of
surprise
anticipation. His current professional involvements include the
development of sophisticated tools for anticipatory analysis and surprise
anticipation, long-range strategic planning and helping leadership design
new approaches for dealing with the future.
John’s government and political experience include stints at the National War College, the Institute for National Security Studies,
the
Office of the Secretary of Defense, and the National Security Council
staff at the White House. He was a naval flight officer in the U.S. Navy
and Navy Reserve and is a decorated veteran of both the Vietnam and
Persian Gulf wars. He has served in senior positions for a number of
presidential political campaigns and was an elected delegate to the
Democratic National Convention in 1984.
In 1989 he founded The Arlington Institute (TAI), a non-profit,
future-oriented research institute. TAI operates on the premise that
effective thinking about the future is impossible without casting a very
wide net. The think tank serves as a global agent for change by
developing new concepts, processes and tools for anticipating the future
and translating that knowledge into better present-day decisions. Using
advanced information technology, a core group of bright thinkers and an
international network of exceptionally curious people along with
simulations, modeling, scenario building, polling and analysis, Arlington
helps equip leaders and organizations from many disciplines with tools
and actionable perspectives for dealing with uncertain
times.
An award-winning writer, his first book,
The Road to 2015: Profiles of the Future was awarded Outstanding Academic Book of
1995
by
CHOICE Academic Review, and remained on the World Future Society’s
best-seller list for more than a year. His latest book,
Out of the Blue: How to Anticipate Wild Cards and Big Future Surprises, was also a WFS best-seller. His coauthored article,
The Year 2000: Social Chaos or Social Transformation? was one of the most highly acclaimed writings
on
Y2K. His 1988 book-length report The Diffusion of Power: An Era of Realignment was used at the highest levels of American government as
a
basis for strategic planning.
KuzweilAI.net published his reports Wild
Cards: The Nature of Big Future Surprises,
and How to Change the World … Quickly.
He has also written papers on the future of
national security and the military, the future of energy and the future
of the media.
John is a past board member of the World Future Society, writes on
the future of aviation for Professional
Pilot magazine and is on
the board of directors of the Charles A. and Anne Morrow Lindbergh Foundation. He is a network member of the Global Business Network and
a
fellow of the
World Academy of Art and Science. A provocative public
speaker, he addresses a wide array of audiences around the world on a
variety of future subjects. When he is not writing or speaking,
theorizing about wild cards, or constructing his own airplane, John leads
workshops that help corporate clients build new images of possible
futures and visions for reaching their goals.